Fibonacci

Fibonacci Retracements are ratios used to identify potential reversal levels. Trader’s use these to predict where support or resistance levels are. The most popular Fibonacci Retracements are 61.8% and 38.2%.

Fibonacci numbers were identified by Leonardo Fibonacci, represent ratios that naturally occurred in Nature. Fibonacci numbers are simply a series of numbers that when you add the previous two numbers you come up with the next number in the sequence. Here is an example:  1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55 

 1 + 2 = 3;    2 + 3 = 5;

The main ratio also known as the Golden Ratio or PHI is 1.618 or the inverse 0.618. (calculated: number divided by the previous number approximates 1.618  55/34 = 1.618 or the other way round 34/55  = 0.618). Fibonacci numbers occur in nature and in the various markets as Forex, Stocks, Indices and commodities. There are many tools that incorporate the Fibonacci levels:

  • Fibonacci Retracements
  • Fibonacci Arcs
  • Fibonacci Fans
  • Fibonacci Time Extensions

Fibonacci Retracements

FTSE 100 -Fibonacci retracement(1)

The Fibonacci retracement tool is the most popular tool used applying the Fibonacci levels. To use the tool, just place the high and low on the highest point and the lowest point of the move, with the 0 at the extreme point of the move. The Fibonacci retracement tool will then project the retracement levels, as you can see in the spread betting example above.

In the graph above of the Spread betting index FTSE 100, you can see various levels projected which have become resistance while the FTSE was retracing it’s downward movement. Here is a spread betting strategy where the resistance areas where the FTSE Index stalled and retraced and presented itself as good trading opportunities are: 23.6% to 38.2% to a strong 50% then to 61.8%.

Once one resistance broke, this level then becomes support. Note in the spread betting example  how 23.6% was initially resistance then became support, the same with the  50% level which became support and 61.8% resistance.

 

Next:

Parabolic SAR Stop loss

 

As we mentioned earlier the Parabolic SAR Technical Indicator can function as an area where to place your stoploss, this is both to protect your wins while the trend increases or to minimize your loss when the trend goes against you.

GBPUSD -Parabolic SAR as stoploss

The Effectiveness of the Parabolic SAR as a stop loss tool:

1) Initial stop loss

As the market turns around the Parabolic SAR indicates where to place your initial stop loss above or below the stock, indices, commodities trading price. This is placed according to your spread betting strategy, as in the spread betting example above.

2) Trailing stop loss

As the stock, indices, commodities trading price moves higher so does the Parabolic SAR, as it is an adaptive indicator that follows the price trend. It has an Acceleration Factor of 0.02, that is, as prices move higher so does the Parabolic SAR. This giving new levels where to put your stop loss.

3) Protective Stop and Time stop

as the prices move against you, you have protected your profits.

We said the Parabolic SAR indicator is also a Time stop, as time goes by and the prices move higher until they stop behaving as they should, the Parabolic SAR moves closer and closer until it changes direction, letting you out of the trade. thus time is a big factor too in the Parabolic SAR indicator.

 

This is good spread betting tool to add to your spread trading bag of indicators.

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Welcome to spread betting examples this site is meant for those spreadbetting traders that have some knowledge of what financial spread betting is, to help generate other trading ideas.

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You will find here also the abc of trading, with many different trading styles like, Scalping,   Day trading,   Swing Trading,   Long term trading.  The website is also rich of examples in Financial spread betting  Indices,    Shares Commodities,   Oil,    Gold,   FTSE,   Dow,   Dax, forex, EUR/USD,   Gbp/usd and much more.

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SB